Issue 1 · Tuesday, October 20 · 5 min read
Oil is above $100 a barrel. Here's what that means at the pump.
Plus: what a 5% Treasury yield means for you, and a SpaceX share for every kid?
Top story
Oil prices swung on Monday. Brent crude, the global benchmark, fell more than $3 a barrel in the morning after the U.S. eased sanctions on Russia, which could put more Russian oil on the market. By the close it had won most of that back, ending at $109.55, down 0.3%. On Friday it hit its highest price in five months.
The bigger worry is the Strait of Hormuz, a narrow waterway between Iran and Oman that normally carries about a fifth of the world's oil. Attacks on ships there have cut how much oil gets through. Iran's Revolutionary Guards said a tanker caught fire after hitting a naval mine there on Sunday, and crude exports from the Persian Gulf fell to about 8.5 million barrels a day last week, down from more than 20 million the week before.
Why it matters to you: Gasoline is made from oil, so pump prices follow it. Regular gas averaged about $4.30 a gallon nationwide on Monday, according to AAA. If oil stays high, driving, flying and shipping almost anything gets more expensive.
Your money
What a 5% Treasury yield means for you
A Treasury is a loan you make to the U.S. government. The yield is the interest rate the government pays you for it. On Monday, the 10-year Treasury yield closed at 5.14%.
That one number ripples through the economy. Mortgage rates move closely with the 10-year yield, so buying a home costs more right now. Other loans, like car loans, tend to get pricier when rates are high too.
But it's good news for savers. When the government pays around 5% on a safe loan, banks have to offer competitive rates on things like CDs to keep your money. You can even buy Treasuries straight from the government at TreasuryDirect, with a parent's help if you're under 18.
Stock of the day
Amazon AMZN +5.0%
Amazon jumped 5% on Monday, the biggest gain among the big-name stocks we follow, after Morgan Stanley named it a top pick and raised its price target to $350 from $335. A price target is where an analyst thinks a stock will trade in about a year. Amazon reports its quarterly earnings on October 29.
Pop quiz
At 5% interest a year, about how long does it take $1,000 to double?
Use the rule of 72: divide 72 by the interest rate, and 72 ÷ 5 is about 14. Without compounding it would take 20 years. Earning interest on your interest gets you there about six years sooner.
Class discussion
Besides filling up a car, what's something your family buys that could get more expensive if oil stays near $100? Why?
Last bell
A SpaceX share for every kid?
On Monday, Elon Musk posted that next year he'll give one of his own SpaceX shares to every kid in America. With about 72 million kids in the U.S. and SpaceX stock at about $146 a share, that adds up to roughly $10.5 billion. The details aren't clear yet, including who counts as a kid and how you'd actually get your share.
Markets in 10 seconds
| S&P 500 | 7,690.73 | +0.41% |
|---|---|---|
| Nasdaq | 26,430.89 | +1.11% |
| Dow | 51,966.03 | −0.07% |
| 10-year Treasury yield | 5.14% | +0.04 pts |
| Oil (Brent, per barrel) | $109.55 | −0.28% |
| Gas (U.S. average, per gallon) | about $4.30 |
Sources
- DTN: Oil prices mixed on U.S. sanctions waivers, Hormuz threats
- Yahoo Finance: Oil prices fall more than 2% as Trump suspends Russian sanctions
- Mansfield Energy: Russian sanctions waiver weighs on oil as shipping attacks continue
- AAA: Gas prices
- The Motley Fool: Amazon surges on Morgan Stanley top pick
- CNN: Elon Musk says he will give a SpaceX share to every kid in America
- Closing prices: Yahoo Finance
Supply and demand, explainedInflation, explainedInterest rates and the Fed, explained
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